Look for Joe Biden to Win a Second Term

William S. Bike
4 min readMar 16, 2023

Despite 2020, it’s tough to beat a president seeking re-election

Of course Joe Biden is all smiles. He’s probably going to win a second term as president. (White House photo.)

By William S. Bike

Joe Biden is looking like a president who is going to win a second term.

Despite President Donald Trump losing in 2020, it’s tough to beat a president who is seeking re-election. In recent years, pundits thought Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, and Barack Obama were beatable for a second term, but in the end they prevailed, and pretty easily at that.

Incumbency is always an advantage. It’s part of the human psyche to be comfortable with the familiar and to fear change so in the end, those few swing voters who are left tend to stick with incumbents.

It takes a disaster, like the recessions of 1980 and 1992 or COVID in 2020 to get people to make a change when a president is seeking a second term. Without the recessions of 1980 and 1992, Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush would have cruised to second terms, and without his disastrous COVID response, Trump also would have won, particularly if he had just followed the George W. Bush or Barack Obama existing plans for dealing with pandemics instead of pretending COVID didn’t exist.

Also, Bidenomics is working and surprisingly Biden has emerged as a good president and world leader. Under Biden’s leadership, he passed the climate bill which creates Green Investment Banks that can fund clean energy, green building, and fossil-fuel free agriculture — all of which will create jobs. Biden also has promoted microchip factories in depressed states, which will not only improve their economy but eliminate the US’s reliance on foreign technology. Presidents used to talk about energy independence. Biden is bringing us to technological independence. All this hasn’t gotten a lot of play in the media in Biden’s first two years. If it does in the second two, Biden will be looking pretty good.

We have seen what disarray the Republican House of Representatives is in, and that is not going to change over the next few years with intra-party fights and investigations of Democrats that will cost millions of dollars and go nowhere. Biden and the Democrats will ask the American people, “Do you really want these guys in charge?” and plenty of people will not.

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William S. Bike

Author of "Winning Political Campaigns," a how-to book on all aspects of political campaigning, and commentator on history and baseball.